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Showing posts from January 8, 2017

Pocket 4s hits the set. How far will you push?

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Set mining against an early raiser when both players have decent stacks can work out well or sometimes costly. When you hit the set on the flop but the flop also brings an Ace and a King how far will you push your set?

Small pairs OOP against a caller

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Over 65 hands the villain is VP 21 and PF 17. In this session he has folded to every continuation bet made against him.  He 3 bets 7% of his hands so as he calls this raise from the hero in early position we can probably conclude that he doesn't have a big pair. But the villain is happy to go all in on the river. Before you see his hand try and guess what it is...

Is this a bad bluff OOP?

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Should you 3 bet the UTG raiser in a microstakes 6 max game?  If he calls should you bluff the plot? Which flops should you bluff? The villain is an unknown to us.  We have only played 6 hands against him.

Playing pocket 2s against a 3 bet

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In this hand the button raises 3BB.  His attempt to steal stat is 33% over 20 hands.  The small blind 3 bets (the first 3 bet seen over 20 hands also).  It costs 9 big blinds to see the flop (assuming the button doesn't re-raise) and the flop contains 23 big blinds (more if the big blind calls). We need to to guess the 3bet range of the small blind and put it against the hero's pocket 2s. His VP and PF stats are both 30% so we could try and scale his 3 bet range from here.  The hero certainly needs to hit his set for this to be a profitable call. How would you play the hand?

Playing suited connectors out of position

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Perceived wisdom certainly suggests that playing suited connectors should be reserved for late positions, ideally against multiple opponents. Certainly limping with 67s from mid position in 6 max is probably not the best idea. And when you get raised you should probably fold and cut your losses. In this hand there is certainly one player who is going to play every hand (he has put in to 97% of hands and not yet folded to a 3bet. Villain 4 has only 3 bet 11% of all hands. The equity calculations say that the raiser probablt has about 50% equity with our 67s on about 24% equity and the loosest, most passive player around with about 26% equity. Having played the loose player we know that he will make very small bets with nothing, probably call any bet with an ace in his hand, but any real big bet from him tells us that he has a big hand. If we call we need to hit the flop and then our implied odds will work for us. We've also been tight at the table, playing around 14% of ha...

Should you check or bet this flop with your small pair OOP?

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6max fast microstakes 2c/5c.  Hero is dealt pocket 5s which he raises with.  Should he check or bet this flop?

Set mining with 2s

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Set mining can be profitable but you need to make sure there is enough money available to make it worthwhile.  When the set doesn't come on the flop (which it usually won't) then you want to see the turn card cheap (or for free is even better).  In this end the turn card gives flushes and straights or draws to the table.  How would you play the turn card?